BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Penn State
Class: 1A Class Rank: 5 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (7-2) Overall: (10-2) Overall Strength = 175.67
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/01/2022 Away W * 163.45 35 31 1A 42 ( 8- 5) Purdue -8.07 12.07
2 09/10/2022 Home W 177.64 46 10 1A 83 ( 9- 4) Ohio U. 6.11 29.89
3 09/17/2022 Away W 185.98 41 12 1A 48 ( 5- 7) Auburn 14.46 14.54
4 09/24/2022 Home W 151.79 33 14 1A 118 ( 4- 8) Central Michigan -19.73 * 38.73
5 10/01/2022 Home W * 149.78 17 7 1A 101 ( 1- 11) Northwestern -21.74 * 31.74
6 10/15/2022 Away L * 155.10 17 41 1A 3 ( 13- 0) Michigan -16.42 -7.58
7 10/22/2022 Home W * 187.68 45 17 1A 26 ( 8- 4) Minnesota 16.16 11.84
8 10/29/2022 Home L * 163.23 31 44 1A 2 ( 11- 1) Ohio State -8.29 -4.71
9 11/05/2022 Away W * 180.07 45 14 1A 72 ( 4- 8) Indiana 8.55 22.45
10 11/12/2022 Home W * 186.37 30 0 1A 34 ( 7- 5) Maryland 14.85 15.15
11 11/19/2022 Away W * 186.70 55 10 1A 98 ( 4- 8) Rutgers 15.18 29.82
12 11/26/2022 Home W * 170.46 35 16 1A 53 ( 5- 7) Michigan St -1.06 20.06
Averages 171.52 35.8 18.0
Best game: 187.68 = 28 point win over Minnesota
Worst game: 149.78 = 10 point win over Northwestern
Team stdev: 14.45