BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Penn State

Class: 1A Class Rank: 5 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (7-2) Overall: (10-2) Overall Strength =  175.67

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/01/2022 Away    W * 163.45  35  31   1A  42 (  8-  5) Purdue                 -8.07     12.07                      
  2 09/10/2022 Home    W   177.64  46  10   1A  83 (  9-  4) Ohio U.                 6.11     29.89                      
  3 09/17/2022 Away    W   185.98  41  12   1A  48 (  5-  7) Auburn                 14.46     14.54                      
  4 09/24/2022 Home    W   151.79  33  14   1A 118 (  4-  8) Central Michigan      -19.73 *   38.73                      
  5 10/01/2022 Home    W * 149.78  17   7   1A 101 (  1- 11) Northwestern          -21.74 *   31.74                      
  6 10/15/2022 Away    L * 155.10  17  41   1A   3 ( 13-  0) Michigan              -16.42     -7.58                      
  7 10/22/2022 Home    W * 187.68  45  17   1A  26 (  8-  4) Minnesota              16.16     11.84                      
  8 10/29/2022 Home    L * 163.23  31  44   1A   2 ( 11-  1) Ohio State             -8.29     -4.71                      
  9 11/05/2022 Away    W * 180.07  45  14   1A  72 (  4-  8) Indiana                 8.55     22.45                      
 10 11/12/2022 Home    W * 186.37  30   0   1A  34 (  7-  5) Maryland               14.85     15.15                      
 11 11/19/2022 Away    W * 186.70  55  10   1A  98 (  4-  8) Rutgers                15.18     29.82                      
 12 11/26/2022 Home    W * 170.46  35  16   1A  53 (  5-  7) Michigan St            -1.06     20.06                      
      Averages             171.52  35.8 18.0

Best game:  187.68 = 28 point win over Minnesota
Worst game: 149.78 = 10 point win over Northwestern
Team stdev:  14.45